LOGIC Consulting

  • Alumni
Contact Us

December 23, 2024

Thumb

Egypt’s Economy l Surfing through the wind of change

In 2024, Egypt's economy faced significant challenges, navigating a critical turning point while pursuing bold reforms. The year’s economic landscape was defined by the continued depreciation of the Egyptian pound and a severe foreign currency shortage, which drove inflation to new heights and intensified external debt burdens. These factors underscored the urgent need for transformative reforms aimed at stabilization and recovery. To address these challenges, the Central Bank of Egypt devalued the Egyptian pound for the fourth time since 2022, adopting a flexible exchange rate regime to curb instability. This shift was supported by an $8 billion Extended Fund Facility secured from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in March 2024, supplementing a previous $3 billion arrangement from December 2022. The IMF agreement came with stringent commitments, including subsidy reforms, privatization initiatives, and tighter fiscal policies, aimed at rebuilding investor confidence and addressing structural imbalances.

As part of its reform strategy, the government enacted bold measures to alleviate fiscal pressures, including a significant hike in fuel prices—ranging from 10% to 17% in October 2024, the third increase of the year—and a dramatic 300% rise in the price of subsidized bread. These controversial steps reflected Egypt’s commitment to achieving fiscal sustainability despite their social and political sensitivities. The IMF highlighted three critical areas that could pose implementation risks to Egypt’s reform program:

  1. A sustained shift to a fully liberalized foreign exchange regime.
  2. Comprehensive energy subsidy reform to reduce fiscal burdens.
  3. The integration of off-budget investments into unified fiscal accounts, enabling tighter economic management.

Additionally, Egypt undertook structural reforms to bolster private sector-led growth, including the adoption of a State Ownership Policy to decrease the playing field for public and private enterprises, privatization and divestment of state-owned enterprises to attract foreign direct investment. The government also planned to transition from commodity subsidies to direct cash assistance by July 2025, promoting economic efficiency and better targeting of social assistance.

Related Articles

Contact Us

Brochure

Reflecting on 2024 Key Economic Milestones and Challenges in Egypt

Agriculture:

Egypt aims to expand arable land to 12 million feddans by 2030 (from 9.6 million in FY2021/2022) and meet 70% of local wheat demand to reduce import reliance mainly from Russai (74%).
Also, Programs like the Sustainable Agricultural Development Strategy 2030 and emerging Agritech startups (e.g., Zr3i) promote technology use, with international collaborations introducing innovations like Greendome greenhouse technology.
This initiative is still underway, since many rural areas still struggle with inadequate internet and electricity, and limited farmer trainings.

Tourism:

Tourism, a cornerstone of Egypt’s economy, witnessed conflicting experiences, resulting from the political unrest of the region and global economic uncertainties, yet at the same time, despite the challenges the devaluation causes on the overall economy, it makes Egypt an even more attractive and affordable destination for tourists. That was clearly demonstrated by significant drop in room bookings in South Sinai,
nevertheless overall tourism remained robust, with a 5% year-on-year increase in early 2024, generating $6.6 billion, up from $6.3 billion in 2023.
Capitalizing on that, Egypt aims to double annual tourist arrivals to 30 million by 2030 and expand hotel capacity to 500,000 rooms. Achieving these targets requires infrastructure development, sustained stability, enhanced connectivity, cultural promotion, and innovative offerings, and that is foreseen to happen through many strategic initiatives, with lights shedding specifically on the following;

  • The Grand Egyptian Museum: Will be the world’s largest archaeological museum, showcasing over 50,000 artifacts.
  • Ras El-Hekma: A $35 billion investment on the North Coast featuring luxury resorts, a financial center, and free zones with state-of-the-art infrastructure. Designed to attract up to 8 million tourists with enhanced accessibility through airports and high-speed rail.

These initiatives exemplify Egypt’s strategic commitment to revitalizing its tourism sector through cultural and coastal developments. By targeting diverse and affluent tourists, the government seeks to sustain long-term growth and reinforce Egypt’s positioning as a premier global destination.

ICT Sector:

Egypt sought to elevate the ICT sector’s contribution to GDP from 3.4% to 7%, supported by initiatives such as:

  • Expanding mobile network towers for better connectivity.
  • Increasing outsourcing exports to $13 billion.

In 2024, Egypt’s outsourcing sector experienced significant growth, with exports reaching $3.7 billion, up from $2.4 billion in 2022. This 54% increase underscores the country’s commitment to becoming a global hub for outsourcing and technology innovation. The Information Technology Industry Development Agency (ITIDA) has been instrumental in this progress, attracting international companies and fostering skilled, multilingual workforce. The government aims to further elevate outsourcing exports to $9 billion by 2026, creating over 200,000 direct export job opportunities for its youth in the outsourcing field.
These advancements hinge on robust investments in digital infrastructure and human capital development, underscoring the importance of education and workforce training in sustaining ICT growth.

Want To Read More?

You can download it and read it any time you want

Download Now