LOGIC Consulting

August 30, 2024

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The UAE IPO Market: Unlocking New Horizons for Growth and Investments

The UAE has been making significant strides in diversifying its economy beyond oil dependence, driven by commitment to sustainable growth. Through strategic initiatives like "Vision 2021" and the "We the UAE Vision 2031", the nation is focusing on bolstering key sectors such as tourism, technology, and renewable energy. By channeling investments into innovation and infrastructure, the UAE is establishing itself as a global hub for trade and investment. This diversification strategy is also reflected in the country's robust IPO movement, as businesses seek to capitalize on the UAE's evolving economic landscape, offering new opportunities for investors and contributing to a more resilient and dynamic economy.

  1. The UAE's Strategic Shift Toward Economic Diversification Beyond Oil and Gas
    Although the hydrocarbon sector experienced significant fluctuations, the non-hydrocarbon sector demonstrates a more stable and resilient performance despite global economic uncertainties affecting the UAE.

1.1 Real GDP Outlook

The UAE's 2023 GDP reflects positive growth trends across multiple indicators, particularly in key sectors vital to the national economy, as reported by the Federal Competitiveness and Statistics Centre. In 2023, the GDP reached AED 1.68 trillion at constant prices, representing a 3.6 percent increase from 2022. Abdullah bin Touq Al Marri, the Minister of Economy, emphasized that these figures solidify the UAE's position as the 5th largest economy in the world based on the real GDP growth index. Additionally, the UAE ranks among the top 10 global economies in various competitiveness indicators related to GDP.
At current prices, the UAE's GDP has reached AED1.88 trillion in 2023, growing by 2.3%. The country has strengthened its position among the top 10 globally in various GDP-related competitiveness indicators, ranking fifth in the Real Economic Growth Rate Index and sixth in GDP (PPP) per capita according to the IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook 2023. Additionally, it holds sixth place globally in the GNI Index in the UNDP Human Development Index Report 2024.

1.2 Non-Hydrocarbon GDP

The non-hydrocarbon GDP stood at AED1.25 trillion, showing a growth of 6.2 percent compared to the previous year. By the end of 2023, the non-hydrocarbon sector contributed approximately 75% to the GDP, marking a record-breaking growth of 2.5 percent from 2022.

Notable growth in the non-hydrocarbon sectors included:

  • 14.3%  Financial activities and insurance
  • 11.5% Transport and storage activities
  • 8.9% Construction and building activities
  • 5.9% Real estate activities
  • 5.5% Residency and food services

The non-hydrocarbon GDP at current prices amounted to AED1.43 trillion, achieving a growth rate of 9.9 percent, equating to an increase of AED 128 billion compared to 2022.

Looking ahead, non-hydrocarbon GDP growth is expected to stay strong at 5.4% in 2024 and 5.3% in 2025, primarily supported by base effects and stabilizing migration inflows, reflecting previous trends and an influx of new residents to the area.

1.3 UAE's Resilient Non-Oil Trade

The Total Non-Oil Foreign Trade in 2023 was 2,426 AED Billion with percentage change 11.9% from 2022. 

The Non-Oil Exports in 2023 was 423.6 AED Billion with percentage change 15% from 2022. 

1.4 Hydrocarbon GDP

In 2022, the hydrocarbon sector experienced significant growth driven by a rebound in global
demand as economies recovered from the pandemic. This resurgence led to increased oil prices and production levels, making it a particularly strong year for the industry.
Since 2023, the hydrocarbon sector has faced some challenges that have resulted in a decline. Oil production has averaged 2.9 million barrels per day in the first four months of 2024, reflecting a 4% decrease compared to the same period last year.

Despite these challenges, projections for 2025 are optimistic, with anticipated growth of 8.4%
following a modest increase of 0.3% in 2024. This positive outlook can be attributed to expected stabilization in global demand, ongoing investments in technology and infrastructure in the hydrocarbon sector, and heightened efforts to balance production levels by OPEC+.

2. UAE Initiatives for Economic Diversification

The UAE is dedicated to economic diversification through initiatives that focus on technology
and green investments. Dubai’s framework highlights the role of sustainable investments in
fostering economic growth, with a key strategy aimed at stimulating the IPO market to attract
more investors. Additionally, the UAE Central Bank supports Small and Medium Enterprises
(SMEs) by facilitating access to financing, recognizing their significant potential for driving economic
growth and achieving diversification goals.
The Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange (ADX) has introduced initiatives to attract local and international
companies to list on its platform, such as a Dh5 billion IPO Fund to support private sector
listings and the introduction of Q Market Makers to boost market liquidity. These strategies aim
to enhance participation in the securities markets and increase the market’s appeal through
notable IPOs.
Meanwhile, The Dubai Financial Market (DFM) is focusing on diversifying the UAE’s economy
through initiatives like the “DFM Arena.” This private platform connects investors with opportunities
in private equity, private debt, and investment funds, offering access to private market
investments and strategic partnerships. Recently, DFM signed a collaboration agreement with
SIX, the Swiss Financial Market Infrastructure Group, during the second edition of the Capital
Market Summit. This partnership aims to foster growth and innovation through potential
dual/cross-listing opportunities, sharing best practices, and simplifying the transfer of shares
between exchanges.

3. Notable IPOs and Major Deals

The UAE government is actively encouraging state-owned enterprises to pursue initial public
offerings (IPOs) as a strategic initiative aimed at attracting investment and enhancing efficiency.
Notable companies like Emirates Global Aluminium and Abu Dhabi Ports are exploring public
listings, signaling a shift toward a more market-driven economy. In 2023, the Dubai government
announced plans to list several state-owned enterprises on the Dubai Financial Market, demonstrating its commitment to strengthening the local equity market, promoting sustainable economic growth, and reducing reliance on oil.
Simultaneously, many private companies, including family-owned businesses and SMEs, are
increasingly considering IPOs as a viable option for raising capital. This trend is driven by the
desire for greater access to funding, the potential for enhanced visibility in the market, and the
opportunity to attract new investors, which can significantly boost their growth prospects.

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